Gregarious-Chaos
0x49e285ce15b1173834da6d4efc096ad4752b2604
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
192
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-224.86
Realised
$153.94
Win rate
48%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 192- YES
Will Luis Arce win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
500 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-7.57
- YES
Will Antonio Saravia win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
500 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-7.57
- YES
Will Branko Marinković win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
500 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-7.57
- YES
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
500 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-7.57
- YES
Will Eva Copa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
500 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-7.57
- YES
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
500 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-7.57
- YES
Will Jaime Dunn win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
500 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-7.57
- YES
Will Ruth Nina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
500 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-7.57
- YES
Will Carlos Mesa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
500 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-7.57
- YES
Will José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
500 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-7.57
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$0.18Oct 29, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kanye West / Ye be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$0.54Oct 29, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.61Oct 29, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.49Oct 29, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$6.79Oct 29, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$6.75Oct 29, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$26.82Oct 29, 15:50 UTC
- REWARD$3.07Oct 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$2.02Oct 19, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Red Bull have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?$0.96Oct 19, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?$0.90Oct 19, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$11.48Oct 19, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$4.20Oct 19, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$137.99Oct 19, 17:51 UTC
- CONVERSION#1 Searched Passings on Google this year?$24.00Oct 19, 17:47 UTC
- CONVERSION#1 Searched Passings on Google this year?$20.00Oct 19, 17:47 UTC
- CONVERSIONWhich party wins most seats in Argentina Deputies Election?$199.99Oct 19, 17:47 UTC
- CONVERSIONWhich party wins most seats in Argentina Deputies Election?$200.01Oct 19, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$60.00Oct 19, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$199.80Oct 19, 17:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $63.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 19, 17:45 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 29, 15:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".