0x49e74c02d5deebe9ca0e1f678cf2423ca9403992
0x49e74c02d5deebe9ca0e1f678cf2423ca9403992
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$52.12
Total PnL
$-21.93
Realised
$-13.16
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 7?
16 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$15.60
$0.05
- BILIBILI GAMING
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
11 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$10.84
$2.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 2?
10 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$10.49
$7.35
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
16 shares @ 51.2¢·now 50.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.82
$-0.17
- OVER
Canadiens vs. Devils: O/U 5.5
7 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$7.36
$0.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on April 1?
186 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on April 1?
171 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 1?
53 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.61
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 69°F or below on April 1?
33 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 1?
16 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the median home value in Miami be between $1,220,000 and $1,240,000 on April 1?$1.06Apr 3, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the median home value in New York City be between $570,000 and $575,000 on April 1?$4.42Apr 3, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on April 1?$6.81Apr 3, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill SC Internacional vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?$8.28Apr 3, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1?$26.06Apr 3, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 1?$55.28Apr 3, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the median home value in Miami be between $1,220,000 and $1,240,000 on April 1?$0.00Apr 3, 00:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the median home value in New York City be between $570,000 and $575,000 on April 1?$0.00Apr 3, 00:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on April 1?$0.00Apr 3, 00:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill SC Internacional vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?$0.00Apr 3, 00:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1?$0.00Apr 3, 00:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 1?$0.00Apr 3, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 1?$0.00Apr 3, 00:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on April 1?$0.00Apr 3, 00:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill SC Internacional vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?$0.00Apr 3, 00:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the median home value in Miami be between $1,220,000 and $1,240,000 on April 1?$0.00Apr 3, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the median home value in New York City be between $570,000 and $575,000 on April 1?$0.00Apr 3, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on April 1?$0.00Apr 3, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill SC Internacional vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?$0.00Apr 3, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1?$0.00Apr 3, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 23:08 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 00:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.