Thorny-Reparation
0x49eccf31d21d72f80f56500f7ca3a5045b2047d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$20.62
Total PnL
$-121.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
21 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$20.62
$0.62
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26?
1856 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- YES
Will Jan van Aken be the next Chancellor of Germany?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?
927 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 25?
864 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.05
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 28?
690 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- NO
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?
521 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 8?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Ethereum above $1,900 on March 21?
119 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-58.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$20.02May 22, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 22?$31.87May 22, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?$903.61May 22, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 22?$31.23May 21, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?$900.25May 21, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$26.31May 21, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.04May 19, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$13.34May 19, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$10.31May 19, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$1.07May 19, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?$11.76May 19, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by May 8?$20.60May 19, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 8?$23.19May 19, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 8?$23.01May 8, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 8?$20.00May 8, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?$2.14May 8, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 28?$20.10May 8, 00:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 28?$25.24May 8, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 28?$24.86Apr 27, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 28?$20.00Apr 27, 22:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $38.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 12, 22:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 22:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.