Numb-Pond
0x49ed16827923f7bf71a4435ffbabea864fd98d9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
2200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on November 11?
850 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 11?
590 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-7.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 64°F or higher on November 11?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 11?$5.88Nov 11, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 11?$1.20Nov 11, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on November 11?$1.00Nov 11, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on November 11?$2.40Nov 11, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 64°F or higher on November 11?$0.14Nov 11, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 64°F or higher on November 11?$1.86Nov 11, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$0.94Nov 11, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$0.02Nov 11, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$0.02Nov 11, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$0.02Nov 11, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$2.00Nov 11, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$2.40Nov 11, 02:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 02:24 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 11, 03:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".