Lighthearted-Bankbook
0x49f1aec7f7865f981e9cae13c29155c802f1f777
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-53.38
Realised
$4.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on September 8?
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?
100 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30?
100 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?
100 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on September 8?
81 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-24.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$3.21Feb 6, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$1.79Feb 6, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?$3.60Feb 6, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?$1.90Feb 6, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?$3.13Nov 25, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?$2.00Nov 19, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMTrump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?$10.00Nov 19, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?$7.90Nov 18, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on September 8?$10.13Sep 8, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$15.50Sep 8, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on September 8?$30.00Sep 8, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $116K on September 8?$10.00Sep 8, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30?$13.00Sep 7, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$10.00Sep 6, 00:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $9.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 6, 00:22 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 21:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".