Intent-Playground
0x49f507687303b03d1428086823eb2be5feb479ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-478.64
Realised
$0.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?
15115 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-399.97
- YES
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?
2235 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?
968 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-19.20
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Conservative Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next Canadian Election?$0.00May 2, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?$0.00May 2, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$0.00May 2, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$0.00May 2, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Carney lose his seat?$0.00May 2, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$50.00Apr 29, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$257.34Apr 29, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$90.00Apr 29, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$113.22Apr 29, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$55.00Apr 29, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?$23.34Apr 29, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?$2.81Apr 29, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?$140.48Apr 29, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?$35.47Apr 29, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre lose his seat?$239.86Apr 29, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney lose his seat?$100.00Apr 29, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?$100.00Apr 29, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?$200.00Apr 29, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$100.00Apr 29, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?$100.00Apr 29, 03:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $505.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 02:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 16:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.