Sweaty-Work
0x49f7989fceed6e466599741b1c9fd64e46a54b56
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$13.16
Total PnL
$-167.21
Realised
$-10.68
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
98 shares @ 24.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.16
$-10.24
- NO
Will the DHS shutdown last 10 days or more?
5411 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 11?
4304 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2025$0.00
$-17.22
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
455 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 14?
250 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2025$0.00
$-27.50
- YES
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
117 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-39.78
- NO
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?
94 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.34
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.88
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
25 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-7.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$4.23Feb 25, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$0.00Feb 24, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$4.22Feb 24, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$0.29Feb 24, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$4.49Feb 24, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$7.44Feb 24, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$10.00Feb 24, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$10.00Feb 24, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$15.00Feb 24, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 10 days or more?$10.00Feb 22, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$20.00Feb 22, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$20.00Feb 22, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$58.59Feb 22, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$9.00Feb 22, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$10.00Feb 22, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$25.93Feb 22, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$39.78Jan 14, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$60.00Jan 14, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before July?$5.34Feb 2, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump issue an executive order on Day 14?$27.50Feb 2, 20:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $18.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 16:19 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 03:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".