Ambitious-Cross
0x49fd1c90b0de45631a70828b9504b84497c16654
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-828.35
Realised
$21.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act signed into law by March 31?
1101 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Egypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?
1094 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Bitcoin all time high in April?
1000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
665 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-124.75
- YES
Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
602 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?
500 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.50
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 7?
500 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-11.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$34.32Nov 16, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$31.68Nov 16, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 13?$0.04Nov 12, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 13?$19.76Nov 12, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 13?$6.20Nov 12, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 13?$10.00Nov 12, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 7?$9.81Nov 7, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 7?$0.05Nov 7, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$11.00Nov 7, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 7?$1.39Nov 7, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 7?$0.26Nov 7, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 6?$230.00Nov 7, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?$4.79Nov 6, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?$1.39Nov 6, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?$2.88Nov 6, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?$1.95Nov 6, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?$3.03Nov 6, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?$2.02Nov 6, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?$0.24Nov 6, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?$1.44Nov 6, 07:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $39.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 00:28 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 16, 15:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".