Somber-Walking
0x49ff0e7de12cf37c2ca5dbbf59c0734caf957c3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$185.51
Total PnL
$-99.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
50 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$50.00
$7.50
- YES
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
36 shares @ 27.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$35.51
$25.85
- NO
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?
30 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$30.00
$3.90
- NO
AWS service disrupted by January 31?
20 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$20.00
$2.60
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
20 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$20.00
$0.80
- NO
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$20.00
$3.00
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
10 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$10.00
$0.31
- YES
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last less than 2 seconds?
425 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-17.97
- YES
Will Trump and Zelenskyy not shake hands?
200 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
130 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-29.90
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$17.40Apr 8, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$9.69Jan 21, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? $19.20Jan 7, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$17.00Jan 7, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "His & Hers" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)$19.20Jan 7, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Man on Fire" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)$20.00Jan 7, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?$26.10Jan 6, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?$4.80Jan 5, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Man on Fire" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)$18.40Jan 5, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$10.00Jan 5, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$9.13Jan 4, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$0.02Jan 4, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$0.75Jan 4, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?$20.00Jan 2, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?$0.00Jan 2, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?$20.00Jan 2, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?$20.00Jan 2, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMMike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?$20.00Jan 2, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$22.55Jan 2, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Syria by December 31?$40.00Jan 2, 18:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $11.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 20:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 18:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.