0x4a02b5094de8d20befc2a37b08ec33aac58e1e69
0x4a02b5094de8d20befc2a37b08ec33aac58e1e69
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.10
Realised
$0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
237 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.24
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
211 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.21
- YES
Will AOC win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
168 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.17
- YES
Will Republicans control 229 seats in the House after the election?
161 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-0.32
- YES
Will Republicans control 230 or more seats in the House after the election?
141 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- NO
Will Brentford win on 2024-11-30?
51 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Elon Musk arrested in 2024?
39 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.97
Recent activity
- TRADESELLElon Musk arrested in 2024?$0.13Dec 23, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk arrested in 2024?$1.10Dec 16, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Quinn Ewers win the Heisman Trophy?$0.33Dec 12, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 1-2%?$0.08Dec 11, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Quinn Ewers win the Heisman Trophy?$0.33Dec 7, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?$0.13Dec 5, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 135,000,000-140,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.08Dec 4, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%?$0.18Dec 4, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?$0.12Dec 3, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans control 229 seats in the House after the election?$0.32Dec 3, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 1-2%?$0.08Dec 3, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans control 230 or more seats in the House after the election?$0.14Dec 3, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$0.37Dec 2, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$0.26Dec 2, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 145,000,000-150,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.01Dec 2, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford win on 2024-11-30?$0.05Nov 30, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$0.26Nov 30, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Moana 2' gross between $150-165m on 5-day opening weekend?$0.18Nov 30, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?$0.27Nov 30, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 135,000,000-140,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.08Nov 30, 13:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 14, 16:31 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 23, 02:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".