Untried-Balloon
0x4a05a71d1a952c0e35520ae3926414cd4f83a03b
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$18.66
Total PnL
$-134.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
19 shares @ 26.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$18.66
$13.66
- YES
Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump do a podcast with Hawk Tuah Girl?
500 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $53-61m opening weekend?
156 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2024$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
94 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?
45 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2024?
22 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2024$0.00
$-7.90
- YES
Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-4.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$50.00Jan 31, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden finish his term?$5.56Jan 31, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?$44.44Jan 31, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024?$4.99Oct 27, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$5.00Oct 27, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2024?$7.90Oct 27, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$10.00Oct 27, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$5.00Oct 27, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool wins the Premier League?$5.00Oct 27, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.10Oct 27, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.00Oct 27, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Venom: The Last Dance' gross between $53-61m opening weekend?$24.00Oct 27, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump do a podcast with Hawk Tuah Girl?$5.00Oct 27, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?$30.00Oct 27, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?$40.00Oct 27, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump do a podcast with Hawk Tuah Girl?$10.00Oct 27, 01:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $14.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 01:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 03:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".