Sad-Briefly
0x4a0aaa349cb5508cc53dfd65e429b051d40e673a
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$101.86
Total PnL
$-307.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
605 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$96.52
$-0.30
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
274 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.34
$-0.14
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
142 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- RAPHAEL COLLIGNON
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon
100 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-66.00
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
67 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?
64 shares @ 46.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$99.26Jun 4, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.64Jun 3, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$105.33Jun 3, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$61.86May 30, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon$66.67May 30, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?$10.00Dec 30, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$76.92Nov 19, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say “MAGA" or "Make America Great Again” this week? (November 10 - 16)$4.50Nov 11, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 31?$2.00Oct 31, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 31?$2.00Oct 31, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie say "Fascist" or "Fascism" during the GOTV rally with AOC and Zohran on October 26?$10.00Oct 27, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie say "Billionaire Friends" during the GOTV rally with AOC and Zohran on October 26?$10.00Oct 27, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie say "Gaza" during the GOTV rally with AOC and Zohran on October 26?$20.00Oct 27, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Fascist" or "Fascism" during the GOTV rally with AOC and Zohran on October 26?$6.36Oct 27, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Fascist" or "Fascism" during the GOTV rally with AOC and Zohran on October 26?$0.14Oct 27, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Billionaire Friends" during the GOTV rally with AOC and Zohran on October 26?$5.00Oct 26, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Trump" 12+ times during the GOTV rally with AOC and Zohran on October 26?$8.20Oct 26, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Gaza" during the GOTV rally with AOC and Zohran on October 26?$1.83Oct 26, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie say "Gaza" during the GOTV rally with AOC and Zohran on October 26?$10.37Oct 26, 15:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $16.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 19, 12:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".