Harsh-Exam
0x4a145b2e1d8d7b80093b0c527bf37b19fb8ceb29
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-754.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union?
1053 shares @ 62.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-655.42
- YES
Will Trump say "Bessent" during the State of the Union address?
315 shares @ 63.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?
150 shares @ 90.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-135.45
- NO
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in February?
150 shares @ 95.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-143.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 26?
125 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-113.75
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 25?
125 shares @ 96.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-120.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?
125 shares @ 97.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-121.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on February 27?
125 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-113.74
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on February 25?
51 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-46.40
- NO
Will David Ellison attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
50 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-45.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ditonellapiaga win Sanremo 2026?$7.14Mar 1, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 1?$11.90Mar 1, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?$13.48Mar 1, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on February 28?$23.77Mar 1, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on February 28?$54.09Mar 1, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on March 1?$57.76Mar 1, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on February 28?$85.76Mar 1, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 28?$149.98Mar 1, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on February 28?$150.00Mar 1, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMHouthi strike on Israel by February 28?$150.00Mar 1, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?$150.00Mar 1, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tommaso Paradiso win Sanremo 2026?$150.00Mar 1, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in February?$150.00Mar 1, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Bitcoin" in February?$150.00Mar 1, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FC Metaloglobus București end in a draw?$150.00Mar 1, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C on February 28?$150.00Mar 1, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 1?$150.00Mar 1, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on February 28?$10.82Feb 28, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on February 28?$148.00Feb 28, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 28?$23.48Feb 28, 22:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $48.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 13:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 13:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".