Muted-Footnote
0x4a149ca8de2ccf4b5be419ad8d42c87a6af5255d
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$228.80
Total PnL
$-238.16
Realised
$-68.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
460 shares @ 50.9¢·now 48.5¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$223.03
$-11.12
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.75
$-2.25
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.03
- YES
Will Senor Tilt be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?
821 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-78.78
- YES
Will Turbo be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?
800 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will Stanley Tang be the biggest loser in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?
489 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-15.42
- YES
Will Martin Kabrhel be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?
333 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-12.28
- YES
Will United Airlines say "Tariff" during earnings call?
125 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-39.25
- YES
Will Stanley Tang be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?
21 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.78
- YES
Will Turbo be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?
21 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$238.75May 31, 15:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 2, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.59Mar 1, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.01Mar 1, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.61Mar 1, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.91Mar 1, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$16.89Mar 1, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.38Mar 1, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.71Mar 1, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.81Mar 1, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.71Mar 1, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.61Mar 1, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.90Mar 1, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Mar 1, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$76.85Mar 1, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$16.02Mar 1, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$16.32Mar 1, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$8.91Mar 1, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.15Mar 1, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$80.54Mar 1, 01:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $23.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 00:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 15:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".