Tan-Macro
0x4a1c847b11d631e44d18f28d08db3cbf9bf71968
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-137.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- UP
BNB Up or Down on April 25?
214 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 27?
208 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 29?
112 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 23?
109 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 30?
104 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29?
100 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.21
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?
92 shares @ 97.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-90.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 31?
81 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.59
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 27?
67 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 31?
65 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.57
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 7?$107.33Jul 7, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 7?$104.11Jul 6, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 2?$105.00Jun 2, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 2?$101.85Jun 1, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 29?$4.49May 28, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 27?$2.66May 26, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 25?$85.81May 25, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 25?$83.32May 24, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 18?$47.43May 18, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$65.17May 18, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 18?$44.11May 17, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$1.60May 17, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 11?$40.64May 11, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 11?$39.42May 10, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 13?$44.68May 1, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down on April 25?$1.85Apr 25, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 22?$0.00Apr 25, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 13?$0.00Apr 16, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 13?$42.89Apr 13, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on March 29?$45.58Apr 10, 16:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $25.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 14:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 16:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.