Sticky-Botany
0x4a1cc7347fdcb31862f975a97b00f1af7277d5eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-65.26
Win rate
0%
49 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
26899 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-25.27
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
1167 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-24.99
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
796 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-24.99
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
719 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-24.91
- UP
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
500 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-24.99
- UP
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 1AM ET
225 shares @ 55.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
208 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
190 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-24.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 14?$32.26Jul 15, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 14?$44.44Jul 14, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 14?$20.38Jul 13, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 14?$20.55Jul 13, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on July 11?$114.94Jul 11, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 10?$118.88Jul 10, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 39°C on July 11?$100.65Jul 10, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 10?$112.36Jul 10, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 9?$125.88Jul 10, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 9?$117.15Jul 9, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 10?$101.25Jul 9, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 10?$100.79Jul 9, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 10?$100.55Jul 9, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on July 10?$101.00Jul 9, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 9?$100.73Jul 8, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 9?$101.03Jul 8, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$10.27May 19, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$9.88May 19, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$14.43May 19, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$9.61May 19, 15:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 49 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
49 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $35.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 08:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 02:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 49 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.