0x4a1ec7d1fca08c1c45446e7e4a8159803a6f0b40
0x4a1ec7d1fca08c1c45446e7e4a8159803a6f0b40
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-64.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 2?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on April 3?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 1?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or higher on April 1?
142 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 67°F or below on April 4?
70 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 67°F or below on April 2?
50 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 49°F or below on April 3?
30 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 67°F or below on April 5?
26 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 62°F or higher on April 4?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on April 19?
21 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-9.47
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on April 14?$0.00Apr 20, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 15?$0.00Apr 20, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on April 14?$0.00Apr 19, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 15?$0.00Apr 19, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on April 14?$0.00Apr 19, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 15?$0.00Apr 19, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on April 19?$0.36Apr 18, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be 84°F or higher on April 18?$8.73Apr 18, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on April 19?$6.90Apr 18, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on April 19?$0.80Apr 18, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on April 19?$0.80Apr 18, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on April 19?$0.80Apr 18, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on April 19?$3.15Apr 17, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 15?$0.24Apr 14, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 15?$1.72Apr 14, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 15?$6.11Apr 14, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 15?$1.82Apr 14, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on April 14?$9.69Apr 14, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on April 3?$0.00Apr 5, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 80°F or higher on April 4?$0.00Apr 5, 00:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 23:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 03:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.