Menacing-Wood
0x4a202a4a87d8e21a200ac1ff9375c492ef7717d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$8.06
Total PnL
$-128.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$8.06
$3.06
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1062 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-80.00
- NO
New EU country recognizes Palestine before July?
278 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2024$0.00
$-16.55
- YES
Ethereum all time high in Q2 2024?
103 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2024$0.00
$-35.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.40Nov 6, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$67.47Nov 5, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$220.52Oct 18, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$153.69Oct 18, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$53.75Oct 18, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?$7.14Oct 18, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel invade Lebanon before September?$5.95Oct 18, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew EU country recognizes Palestine before July?$6.55May 30, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?$5.00May 30, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel invade Lebanon before September?$5.00May 30, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?$5.00May 30, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew EU country recognizes Palestine before July?$10.00May 30, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in Q2 2024?$35.00May 27, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?$0.00May 27, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMTaiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?$0.00May 27, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?$0.00May 27, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMTaiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win?$62.50May 27, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$50.00May 27, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$80.00Feb 13, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.00Jan 13, 01:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $71.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 10:56 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 11:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".