Thorny-Killer-Wound
0x4a28753ab6ba56dafe28a685fe6f8de2d71ab4c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-52.96
Win rate
5%
197 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
341 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.00
$-91.75
- MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES
NBA Summer League: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors
330 shares @ 81.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-270.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
221 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
178 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
167 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
145 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
115 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
107 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
102 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$177.62Aug 22, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$2.24Aug 22, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$4.43Aug 22, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$4.27Aug 22, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.18Aug 22, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.47Aug 22, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$4.06Aug 22, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$4.08Aug 22, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.23Aug 22, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.95Aug 22, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.28Aug 22, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.97Aug 22, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.96Aug 22, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$2.65Aug 22, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.76Aug 22, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$4.49Aug 22, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$4.24Aug 22, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.08Aug 22, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.45Aug 22, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$3.72Aug 22, 08:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
5% win rate over 197 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
197 closed markets, 5% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 22, 08:51 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 197 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.