0x4a2892d8c3cec95e27aa4bae479d9e621528d58b
0x4a2892d8c3cec95e27aa4bae479d9e621528d58b
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$643.04
Total PnL
$-395.22
Realised
$-78.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
227 shares @ 44.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$145.45
$45.45
- YES
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?
189 shares @ 53.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$113.21
$13.21
- NO
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
145 shares @ 69.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$99.28
$-0.72
- YES
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
192 shares @ 52.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$69.23
$-30.77
- NO
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?
192 shares @ 52.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$51.92
$-48.08
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
42 shares @ 44.9¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$39.01
$19.99
- YES
Revolut IPO before 2027?
387 shares @ 14.5¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.72
$-17.27
- YES
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?
245 shares @ 41.8¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$24.49
$-77.96
- YES
SHEIN IPO before 2027?
117 shares @ 25.7¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.01
$-5.99
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
30 shares @ 56.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$16.35
$-0.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?$100.00Jun 13, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be a double Breen “Bang” during the 2026 NBA Finals?$6.75Jun 13, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$9.20Jun 13, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day$83.93Jun 13, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?$89.12Jun 13, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?$100.00Jun 13, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?$100.49Jun 13, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$97.06Jun 13, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$100.00Jun 13, 05:35 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.15Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$40.54Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?$100.00Jun 12, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$16.80Jun 12, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$233.13Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?$100.00Jun 12, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?$100.00Jun 12, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$97.91Jun 12, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$43.39Jun 12, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$56.61Jun 12, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?$100.00Jun 12, 09:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $75.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 08:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 10:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.