Whispered-Futon
0x4a2b7c480ccecdbd704b43c20155436936d051d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-171.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 14?
2900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- CHICAGO CUBS
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs
284 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-164.94
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
4 shares @ 98.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 14?$3.10May 14, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs$167.04Apr 10, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$1.51Apr 10, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on March 9?$1.81Apr 10, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: AM Gaming vs MASONIC (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs$3.82Apr 10, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on March 9?$1.80Mar 9, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: AM Gaming vs MASONIC (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs$1.30Mar 9, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$2.41Mar 9, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the March meeting?$2.97Mar 9, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$2.47Feb 26, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the March meeting?$3.00Feb 26, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$4.00Feb 26, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.21Feb 26, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be less than $412,000 by February 1?$1.32Feb 26, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be less than $1,060,000 by February 1?$1.33Feb 26, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be less than $1,130,000 by February 1?$1.50Feb 26, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$1.40Jan 31, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.20Jan 31, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be less than $1,130,000 by February 1?$1.50Jan 31, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be less than $412,000 by February 1?$1.30Jan 31, 05:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $13.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 05:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 08:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.