Frosty-Adverb
0x4a2ecdf701e380158e471d4f57632144c1c4b316
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$32.73
Total PnL
$1.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNew X CEO announced by July 31?$20.00Jul 25, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?$11.00Jul 25, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$3.02Jul 25, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $103,000 on June 24?$12.22Jul 25, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMSolana all time high by June 30?$100.20Jul 25, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMChina bans US films before July?$370.65Jul 25, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina bans US films before July?$369.44Jun 24, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$3.00Jun 24, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana all time high by June 30?$100.00Jun 24, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $103,000 on June 24?$11.00Jun 24, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill SBF launch a coin before April?$32.03Jun 24, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMOpenSea airdrop before April?$150.15Jun 24, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill China unban Bitcoin by March 31?$301.25Jun 24, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by March 31?$300.95Mar 30, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SBF launch a coin before April?$32.00Mar 30, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenSea airdrop before April?$150.00Mar 30, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k today?$0.00Mar 30, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $210 on November 22?$370.37Mar 30, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $210 on November 22?$370.00Nov 22, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k today?$10.00Nov 22, 03:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $141.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 13:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 14:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.