Big-Hearted-Pop-Spear
0x4a2f4fc2f1e15e40b12348c5a7cbd9ca2d63e889
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$-372.97
Win rate
29%
86 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 7?
336 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-37.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 4?
326 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-84.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on July 2?
320 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-21.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C or below on August 9?
268 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-23.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 7?
267 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-15.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 2?
233 shares @ 79.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-184.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or below on July 2?
200 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 27?
172 shares @ 38.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-66.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on July 2?
167 shares @ 35.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-58.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 18?
167 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.16
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 9?$14.41Aug 9, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 9?$9.00Aug 9, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9?$231.78Aug 9, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9?$9.69Aug 9, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9?$31.62Aug 9, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9?$2.89Aug 9, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9?$6.81Aug 9, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9?$20.45Aug 9, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9?$9.63Aug 9, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9?$4.19Aug 9, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9?$10.06Aug 9, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9?$8.56Aug 9, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9?$51.11Aug 9, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9?$6.77Aug 9, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9?$4.92Aug 9, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9?$2.69Aug 9, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9?$1.88Aug 9, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 9?$92.31Aug 9, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9?$1.18Aug 9, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 9?$9.72Aug 9, 02:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 86 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
86 closed markets, 29% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $20.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 23:52 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 12:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 86 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.