Comfortable-Response
0x4a2f5dcea74601cdb63f8a09bf5a62aa06042bc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$391.66
Total PnL
$-927.75
Realised
$13.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?
288 shares @ 45.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$145.61
$15.86
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
323 shares @ 61.9¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.55
$-101.45
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
381 shares @ 49.9¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.21
$-134.79
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
236 shares @ 32.6¢·now 12.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.48
$-47.52
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 17.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$25.63
$5.63
- NO
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
55 shares @ 55.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.64
$-7.36
- YES
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
135 shares @ 3.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.40
$0.34
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
246 shares @ 5.7¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.93
$-10.07
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
219 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.53
$-33.47
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?$11.18May 24, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?$4.77May 24, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?$4.80May 24, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?$150.00May 24, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?$30.00May 24, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?$6.00May 24, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 30?$61.45May 23, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 15?$46.97May 23, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$70.70May 23, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 27?$51.77May 23, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$100.00May 23, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 27?$3.00May 22, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$3.00May 22, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 15?$2.00May 22, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$1.00May 22, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$14.79May 22, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$1.80May 22, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 30?$1.00May 22, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO by June 30?$2.19May 22, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$3.00May 22, 23:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $18.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 13:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 22:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".