Nonstop-Apology
0x4a30b212c11270c69b690bef7991ae30b27abc9f
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$17.34
Total PnL
$-7.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
254 shares @ 5.9¢·now 4.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$11.31
$-3.69
- YES
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$1.43
$-0.57
- NO
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.77
$-0.23
- NO
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$0.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$0.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
251 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?
913 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tiger Woods play in a PGA Tournament in 2026?$1.02May 6, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?$1.04May 6, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?$1.04May 6, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.01May 6, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.02May 6, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.01May 6, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$2.02May 6, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cho Kuk win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?$1.04May 6, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?$1.00May 6, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?$15.56May 6, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $2.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 00:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".