Unconscious-Advancement
0x4a32dc0415ab523fa5e511ea43e5a62805de586d
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$18.27
Total PnL
$-9.85
Realised
$-3.23
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$8.53
$0.01
- NO
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.11
$0.00
- NO
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.55
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.34
$0.00
- NO
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.29
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.23
$0.00
- NO
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.13
$0.00
- NO
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.08
$0.00
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
22 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-6.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$8.52Feb 7, 01:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$488.53Jan 31, 02:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 31, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$489.02Jan 30, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$109.39Jan 30, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?$379.62Jan 30, 07:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 30, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$109.50Jan 29, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?$380.00Jan 29, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?$482.62Jan 29, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$6.88Jan 29, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?$485.62Jan 28, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$199.20Jan 28, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$286.43Jan 28, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$205.02Jan 27, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$288.00Jan 27, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?$493.01Jan 27, 06:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 27, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?$494.85Jan 26, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$133.92Jan 26, 06:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $241.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 12:35 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 01:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.