Fickle-Triumph
0x4a3567a33b00ed4debfd12dfce8a6ccf7d8cab3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$19.67
Total PnL
$2.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2025 Indian Premier League?
20 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$19.67
$9.44
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
4 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2025 Indian Premier League?$10.23May 29, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?$1.00May 7, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$1.00May 7, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$1.00May 7, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$1.00May 7, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$1.00Jan 28, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?$2.00Jan 28, 07:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $2.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 07:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 15:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".