Imaginative-Riddle
0x4a3847695a29062309bdde2f95c698e327454ec4
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$5.45
Total PnL
$-30.78
Realised
$-0.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-03-16?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$2.70
$1.70
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 3.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Yemen 0 times by October 31?
21 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?
8 shares @ 24.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-06?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2025-11-27?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?$1.00Mar 16, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ES Troyes AC win on 2026-03-16?$1.00Mar 16, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.00Mar 16, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.00Mar 16, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?$1.72Mar 16, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill AS Roma win on 2025-12-11?$2.44Mar 16, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$2.19Mar 16, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?$1.00Dec 18, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRams vs. Seahawks$1.00Dec 18, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-12-11?$1.00Dec 11, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?$3.57Dec 11, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Roma win on 2025-12-11?$1.00Dec 11, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?$1.00Dec 11, 19:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern München win on 2025-12-06?$1.82Dec 9, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?$1.00Dec 9, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-09?$1.00Dec 9, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?$1.00Dec 6, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$1.00Dec 6, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Saint-Étienne win on 2025-12-06?$1.00Dec 6, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$3.51Dec 6, 15:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 22:12 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 17:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".