Chief-Horseradish
0x4a39aa9785d725e120a27a2b295a5905dde37f48
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$4.75
Total PnL
$-5.46
Realised
$0.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$2.27
$0.27
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.29
$0.23
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.18
$0.15
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1 shares @ 88.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tippy win the Aster trading competition?
1 shares @ 93.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?$2.00Mar 10, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hidebrandt Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)$1.16Mar 10, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.16Mar 10, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?$1.16Mar 10, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)$1.16Mar 10, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?$1.17Mar 10, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?$1.19Mar 10, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.24Mar 10, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$1.25Mar 10, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hidebrandt Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)$1.04Jan 3, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)$1.06Jan 3, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?$1.06Jan 3, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.04Jan 3, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.03Jan 3, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.02Jan 3, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.04Jan 3, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.05Jan 3, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?$1.06Jan 3, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.12Jan 3, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Lilo & Stitch' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.04Jan 3, 12:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 19, 14:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 08:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".