Modest-Avalanche
0x4a39db6128c0d05da2f330980982ec5b9e1acfcc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-69.92
Realised
$-8.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
15640 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.63
- YES
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
14535 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-28.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 83°F or below on March 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 13?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on March 16?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UNDER
West Ham United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 11?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 14?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 15?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on March 16?$1.00Mar 16, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 15?$1.00Mar 15, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 15?$2.08Mar 15, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 15?$0.76Mar 15, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 83°F or below on March 15?$1.00Mar 15, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 15?$1.37Mar 15, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 15?$1.00Mar 15, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 15?$1.36Mar 15, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 15?$0.37Mar 15, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 46°F or higher on March 14?$0.04Mar 14, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 15?$1.00Mar 14, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 15?$1.00Mar 14, 23:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 15?$0.86Mar 14, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 15?$1.00Mar 14, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 46°F or higher on March 14?$1.00Mar 14, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 14?$0.06Mar 14, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 14?$2.59Mar 14, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 14?$1.00Mar 14, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 14?$1.00Mar 14, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 14?$1.16Mar 14, 08:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 20:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 05:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".