Ugly-Conservative
0x4a3a00a309da43477181d6646883fc51619688cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
79
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-451.34
Realised
$-0.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- CHIVAS ESPORTS
Valorant: Chivas Esports vs LYON (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Season
7 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.83
- YES
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?
9000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Esther Taylor win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in December 2025?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will T.J. Lavin win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Abakar Ahamat win the Cameroon Presidential Election?
1530 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.53
- YES
Will Richard Seymour win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- PACERS
Pacers vs. Raptors
119 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-23.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYValorant: Chivas Esports vs LYON (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Season$0.34Jun 17, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Chivas Esports vs LYON (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Season$0.22Jun 17, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Chivas Esports vs LYON (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Season$0.27Jun 17, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyries$2.34Jun 16, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyries$1.47Jun 14, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group C$8.00Jun 10, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow Six Siege: PSYKN Company vs Weibo Gaming (BO1) - Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 1 Group Stage$0.31Jun 9, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow Six Siege: PSYKN Company vs Weibo Gaming (BO1) - Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 1 Group Stage$0.27Jun 9, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow Six Siege: PSYKN Company vs Weibo Gaming (BO1) - Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 1 Group Stage$0.27Jun 9, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYRainbow Six Siege: PSYKN Company vs Weibo Gaming (BO1) - Asia Pacific League Asia - Stage 1 Group Stage$0.22Jun 9, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B$2.93Jun 9, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B$2.71Jun 8, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group C$1.28Jun 8, 11:14 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffs$3.30Jun 5, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffs$3.01Jun 4, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$2.45May 29, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO5) - ESL Challenger League North America Finals Playoffs$3.01May 29, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO5) - ESL Challenger League North America Finals Playoffs$2.22May 28, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$1.85May 27, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMVicenza: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Pedro Boscardin Dias$3.47May 26, 20:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $0.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 20:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 20:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.