Untidy-Understatement
0x4a3dcc0a14f0ef22b9f3accaa907186eadaec770
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$3.02
Total PnL
$-18.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$1.00Jan 15, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$1.01Jan 15, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.01Jan 15, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.01Jan 15, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tom Zhu be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?$1.01Jan 15, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $220 in December?$1.01Jan 15, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.00Jan 6, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hanks win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 26, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 26, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 26, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?$1.01Dec 26, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?$1.00Dec 12, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$1.0KDec 9, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.0KDec 9, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$358.50Dec 9, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$141.50Dec 9, 09:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $146.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 04:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 07:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.