Admired-Utilization
0x4a41cd91f9b435136bf9e8e7d93bb374b5606090
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$25.59
Total PnL
$-493.40
Realised
$-11.93
Win rate
1%
166 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Dollar General (DG) beat quarterly earnings?
20 shares @ 13.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Aug 27, 2026$5.50
$2.90
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?
28 shares @ 15.0¢·now 13.2¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$3.67
$-0.52
- YES
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
23 shares @ 9.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.45
$1.38
- NO
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?
20 shares @ 27.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.10
$-2.30
- NO
NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.70
$-0.10
- YES
Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?
23 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.87
$-0.23
- NO
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
20 shares @ 10.6¢·now 9.1¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$1.82
$-0.30
- YES
Will Christian Agúndez Gómez win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?
22 shares @ 14.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2027$1.52
$-1.52
- YES
Will Kiwoom DRX Win the Shortest Game in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?
19 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$-0.54
- YES
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?
7 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 10, 2026$0.91
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?$0.88Aug 14, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christian Agúndez Gómez win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?$3.03Aug 14, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?$2.07Aug 14, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?$3.63Aug 14, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kiwoom DRX Win the Shortest Game in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?$1.55Aug 14, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?$3.99Aug 14, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?$0.19Aug 14, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?$2.10Aug 14, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?$5.40Aug 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dollar General (DG) beat quarterly earnings?$2.60Aug 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by December 31, 2026?$2.80Aug 14, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 13?$0.69Aug 13, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?$2.12Aug 13, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 13?$0.69Aug 13, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 2?$5.94Jul 2, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 2?$0.57Jul 2, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on July 2?$0.36Jul 2, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 2?$0.08Jul 2, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 106-107°F on July 2?$0.95Jul 2, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 2?$0.90Jul 2, 10:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
67/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 166 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
166 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 18:40 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 05:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 166 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.