Admirable-Countess
0x4a422f2aff253f8cddb4db911359f3887f27aa73
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-531.70
Realised
$-33.26
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1AM ET
7425 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.42
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4PM ET
575 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2AM ET
545 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.55
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5AM ET
364 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2PM ET
343 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 12PM ET
137 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7AM ET
49 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-11.43
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9AM ET
48 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-20.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11AM ET
39 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-18.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1PM ET
32 shares @ 43.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-13.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5PM ET$5.27May 30, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET$5.60May 30, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET$6.25May 30, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET$6.19May 30, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET$7.46May 30, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET$6.34May 30, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12PM ET$6.68May 30, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11AM ET$7.01May 30, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10AM ET$7.16May 30, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7AM ET$23.30May 30, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7AM ET$12.06May 30, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7AM ET$4.80May 30, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5AM ET$7.15May 30, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12AM ET$15.98May 30, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12AM ET$5.36May 30, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4PM ET$6.12May 29, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7AM ET$13.99May 29, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7AM ET$6.68May 29, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5AM ET$5.98May 29, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4AM ET$5.12May 29, 08:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 20:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 21:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.