Mature-Custody
0x4a4560ff7cbe015a3fa87a46c319ccbb29808594
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$200.00
Total PnL
$-209.28
Realised
$10.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Iran strike Spain by April 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$200.00
$0.60
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 2?
210 shares @ 99.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-208.32
- YES
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?
156 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
154 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.24
- YES
Will Álex Rins win the 2025 MotoGP Czechia?
140 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?
128 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3500 on July 30?
110 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.97
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
80 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.32
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
1 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.19
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by April 30?$129.74Apr 27, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$129.87Apr 27, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?$79.44Apr 27, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?$79.84Apr 27, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Spain by April 30, 2026?$199.40Apr 24, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?$3.45Apr 11, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brian Harman win the 2026 Masters tournament?$189.05Apr 6, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Harman win the 2026 Masters tournament?$189.24Apr 6, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$34.05Mar 28, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$0.32Mar 25, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$22.35Mar 24, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.60Mar 24, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$46.46Jan 5, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce Howard Lutnick as next Fed Chair in 2025?$80.00Jan 5, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$2.24Dec 12, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 2?$208.32Dec 2, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?$1.92Nov 13, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$70.07Nov 13, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Howard Lutnick as next Fed Chair in 2025?$79.84Nov 6, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.30 October 6-12?$0.25Oct 30, 09:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $80.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 21:58 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 16:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.