Magnificent-Delight
0x4a499f563f3793a93d70b3bb690870274201a156
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-20.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
136 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 13?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.10Feb 7, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.50Feb 7, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Feb 7, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Feb 7, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? $1.00Jan 7, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.00Jan 7, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$4.00Dec 15, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?$0.80Dec 14, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 14, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 14, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 12, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 12?$1.00Dec 12, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?$1.00Dec 12, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $140 on December 13?$1.00Dec 12, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $150 on December 13?$1.00Dec 12, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $260 before 2026?$1.00Dec 12, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?$1.00Dec 12, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 13?$1.00Dec 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?$1.00Dec 12, 17:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 17:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 16:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".