Clumsy-Laugh
0x4a49b47b69be57d6515943a14d6d75778c377447
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
161
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-336.20
Win rate
42%
81 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 161- YES
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times June 6–13?
806 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-0.81
- YES
Will Elon tweet 325–349 times June 6–13?
770 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-0.77
- YES
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
329 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-9.65
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Victor Ponta?
314 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.31
- YES
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?
250 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2025?
235 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-9.39
- YES
Obama federally charged in 2025?
200 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.40
- YES
Will James Craig win the 2025 Detroit mayoral election?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution by August 31?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo visit Turkey first?$18.93Jan 18, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?$21.87Jan 18, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo visit Peru first?$40.56Jan 18, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo visit Mexico first?$74.84Jan 18, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union"?$75.57Jan 18, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?$100.00Jan 18, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMBase airdrop in Q3 2025?$0.63Oct 2, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Brazil" this week?$0.65Oct 2, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMHarvard international students ban ended before August?$1.63Oct 2, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?$7.27Oct 2, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?$13.08Oct 2, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files?$20.90Oct 2, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?$30.00Oct 2, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?$30.00Oct 2, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?$33.87Oct 2, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chris Gotterup win the 2025 PGA TOUR 3M Open?$42.20Oct 2, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMPaetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?$43.40Oct 2, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31?$47.94Oct 2, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Thailand capture Preah Vihear temple by July 31?$49.00Oct 2, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?$50.00Oct 2, 19:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $13.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 16:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 81 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".