0x4a4fbfff0901e541141b59083f2233990d18dfe9
0x4a4fbfff0901e541141b59083f2233990d18dfe9
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$57.10
Total PnL
$-36.68
Realised
$3.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on February 22?
16 shares @ 64.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$15.50
$5.52
- NO
Will Trump say "Cookie" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
10 shares @ 79.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$10.00
$2.01
- NO
Will Trump say "Peanut" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$9.76
$1.76
- YES
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
8 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$8.42
$1.94
- YES
Will Trump say "Miracle" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
8 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$8.42
$0.42
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$5.00
$3.85
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 22?
167 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on February 22?
79 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.43
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 22?
69 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Miracle" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.05Feb 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.23Feb 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.01Feb 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Supreme Court" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.01Feb 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Olympic" or "Olympics" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.01Feb 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.01Feb 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.01Feb 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Alien" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.01Feb 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "No No No" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.01Feb 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.01Feb 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Scam" or "Hoax" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.01Feb 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.01Feb 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Egg" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.01Feb 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hockey" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.01Feb 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.01Feb 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.01Feb 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.01Feb 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.01Feb 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Miracle" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.05Feb 25, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Miracle" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$8.00Feb 25, 03:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 04:02 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 04:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".