Sneaky-Toot
0x4a543adc24c303a930f5fe3eeda155856d2a6ec7
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- OVER
Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. Ventforet Kōfu: O/U 1.5
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- UNDER
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 26?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- CENTRAL COAST MARINERS FC
Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will Avispa Fukuoka vs. Gamba Ōsaka end in a draw?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-03-21?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- SPVGG GREUTHER FÜRTH
Spread: Karlsruher SC (-1.5)
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- SC SAGAMIHARA
Spread: Yokohama FC (-1.5)
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$1.12May 20, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?$1.12May 20, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Guadalupe FC win on 2026-04-01?$1.13May 20, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMForeign intervention in Gaza by April 30?$1.15May 20, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?$1.16May 20, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMRussia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?$1.53May 20, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on April 1?$1.10Apr 2, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Guadalupe FC win on 2026-04-01?$1.10Apr 2, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Low IQ" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?$1.11Apr 2, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?$1.11Apr 2, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on April 1?$1.10Apr 2, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Artemis II launch by April 30?$1.16Apr 2, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?$1.10Apr 1, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the median home value in the US be between $422,500 and $425,000 on April 1?$1.10Apr 1, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the US be between $422,500 and $425,000 on April 1?$1.10Apr 1, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Low IQ" during the Easter Lunch on Wednesday?$1.10Apr 1, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?$1.12Apr 1, 10:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?$1.12Apr 1, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?$1.10Mar 31, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the number of US flights delayed on March 30 be between 7,000 and 7,500?$1.11Mar 31, 18:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 07:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 10:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.