Noxious-Carabao
0x4a56622f5183f05b5564bb6daa04cb1302700044
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$52.50
Total PnL
$-37.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
100 shares @ 56.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.50
$-3.50
- NO
Will Number 7A by Pollock sell for $125M or more?
340 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.52
- YES
Will another outcome occur in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election?
40 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- NO
Will Tête de femme by Picasso sell for $47M or more?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
20 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-14.40
- NO
Will Danaïde by Brancusi sell for $95M or more?
20 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.40
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3700 in July?
8 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Solana reach $200 in July?
6 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$56.00Jul 14, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41.11Jul 14, 13:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $17.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 14:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.