Untried-Supper
0x4a5db4c57730dfba0f70dec343184b0cfc8e17ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.27
Total PnL
$-63.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
10 shares @ 39.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.27
$-3.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 7AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
60 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$10.00Apr 13, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$6.70Mar 4, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.65Mar 4, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$3.30Mar 4, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$3.90Mar 4, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.00Feb 12, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$1.00Feb 12, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - February 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$9.90Feb 10, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$9.30Feb 10, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.80Feb 10, 03:05 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.02Feb 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$4.96Feb 9, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$2.50Feb 9, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - February 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$3.66Feb 8, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - February 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$0.84Feb 8, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$1.10Feb 8, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?$8.00Feb 5, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?$4.30Feb 4, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?$12.00Feb 4, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?$11.60Feb 3, 23:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 23:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 01:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".