Physical-Newsletter
0x4a62dba2379db5116ee3b4b5078acd5d63f480c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-62.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
135 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?
28 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-2.78
- NO
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- FRTIZ
US Open Final: Sinner vs. Fritz
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
16 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-7.50
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
15 shares @ 72.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-11.10
- YES
OpenAI Sora public release before May?
12 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2024$0.00
$-4.99
- YES
Will Trump say "Haitian" at debate?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10.00Nov 3, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?$10.00Nov 15, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?$16.39Nov 15, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum ETF approved by May 31?$17.05Nov 15, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$84.46Nov 15, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$11.10Nov 4, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$50.00Nov 4, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?$10.00Nov 4, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?$1.28Sep 11, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?$1.50Sep 11, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Haitian" at debate?$1.00Sep 11, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Open Final: Sinner vs. Fritz$5.00Sep 8, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lily Gladstone win the Oscar for Best Actress?$0.00Apr 29, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMETH above $3,000 on March 1?$11.36Apr 29, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high by Mar 31?$18.52Apr 29, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYETH above $3,000 on March 1?$10.00Feb 27, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$10.00Feb 27, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lily Gladstone win the Oscar for Best Actress?$5.00Feb 27, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum ETF approved by May 31?$7.50Feb 27, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift engaged in 2024?$7.50Feb 27, 06:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $9.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 05:59 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 3, 18:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".