Spiffy-Ignorance
0x4a68d1f9ba33cfdd55a05cb572b49c3f7a292680
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$0.26
Total PnL
$-315.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.26
$-4.74
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 2PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Netanyahu wear a Yarmulke at next meeting with Trump?
237 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?
192 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?
133 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Prince Andrew mugshot released by February 28?
127 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$5.00Apr 9, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$5.00Apr 7, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$0.00Mar 29, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$0.00Mar 29, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$7.00Mar 29, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$7.48Mar 29, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$5.00Mar 29, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.00Mar 28, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$10.00Mar 28, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$5.00Mar 28, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$20.00Mar 28, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$10.00Mar 24, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 25+ times during Women's History Month event?$5.00Mar 12, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$0.00Mar 12, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$0.00Mar 12, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$16.09Mar 12, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$16.00Mar 12, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$0.00Mar 12, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$10.07Mar 12, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$9.40Mar 12, 17:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $6.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 21:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".