Political-Thunderhead
0x4a6945d4cb5436aeb015cb2e77196d7e3cf387b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will West Ham vs. Arsenal end in a draw?
1 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.21
- RAIDERS
Raiders vs. Bengals
1 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-0.25
- DOLPHINS
Dolphins vs. Bills
1 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-0.30
- TEXANS
Texans vs. Jets
1 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-0.47
- COLTS
Colts vs. Vikings
1 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.33
- GIANTS
Commanders vs. Giants
1 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-0.36
- PACKERS
Lions vs. Packers
1 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-0.39
- YES
Will Ipswich win on 2024-11-02?
1 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2024$0.00
$-0.43
- COWBOYS
Cowboys vs. Falcons
1 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-0.44
Recent activity
- TRADESELLRockets vs. Kings$0.49Dec 2, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Kings$0.51Dec 2, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham vs. Arsenal end in a draw?$0.21Nov 28, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Newcastle win on 2024-11-02?$1.00Nov 28, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bournemouth win on 2024-11-02?$1.00Nov 28, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$189.34Oct 31, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ipswich win on 2024-11-02?$0.43Oct 31, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bournemouth win on 2024-11-02?$0.17Oct 31, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle win on 2024-11-02?$0.26Oct 31, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYColts vs. Vikings$0.33Oct 31, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYLions vs. Packers$0.39Oct 31, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaiders vs. Bengals$0.25Oct 31, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYCowboys vs. Falcons$0.44Oct 31, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYDolphins vs. Bills$0.30Oct 31, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYCommanders vs. Giants$0.36Oct 31, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexans vs. Jets$0.47Oct 31, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$190.40Oct 31, 07:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $25.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 07:58 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 2, 14:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".