Frightening-Trailpatrol
0x4a695874b7791dc042f2a1c9df629e40b132228f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
64
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
7058 shares @ 23.2¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.2K
$-399.42
- YES
Will voter turnout be 54-57% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
82 shares @ 45.4¢·now 3.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.03
$-34.17
- NO
Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?
4500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?
168 shares @ 67.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-114.30
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?
167 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Constellation Brands (STZ) beat quarterly earnings?
153 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-55.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 September 29-October 5?
150 shares @ 66.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Percent" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?
141 shares @ 59.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-84.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$288.96Jun 1, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iván Cepeda win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?$149.02Jun 1, 23:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$1.29Jun 1, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?$39.05Jun 1, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$105.51Jun 1, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$401.04May 31, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill voter turnout be 57-60% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$63.13May 31, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$332.20May 31, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.67May 31, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$4.14May 31, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.04May 31, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$388.01May 31, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$64.93May 31, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$69.17May 31, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?$92.35May 31, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$113.36May 31, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$716.26May 31, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?$58.94May 31, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be 54-57% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$38.01May 31, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$26.98May 31, 06:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $131.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 04:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 23:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".