Bowed-Paddle
0x4a767a45bf606f62c7f7035e43bd5c2552e41617
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-44.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will BNB dip to $300 in March?
540 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
230 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
120 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will BNB dip to $400 in March?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30?
50 shares @ 71.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.70
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.03Jun 12, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?$62.99Apr 9, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026?$9.87Apr 3, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill BNB reach $800 in March?$6.61Apr 1, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill BNB reach $700 in March?$20.00Apr 1, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 31?$28.89Mar 30, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 27?$100.00Mar 30, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30?$35.70Mar 29, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $110 in March?$19.59Mar 26, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 31?$8.12Mar 25, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 31?$18.20Mar 25, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 27?$75.00Mar 23, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB dip to $300 in March?$0.19Mar 23, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB dip to $300 in March?$0.89Mar 23, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $120 in March?$19.60Mar 22, 00:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 19?$20.00Mar 21, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 18?$30.00Mar 21, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17?$30.00Mar 21, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB dip to $400 in March?$1.00Mar 19, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$96.50Mar 16, 15:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $12.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 18:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.