Frivolous-Transit
0x4a77d3586b2fa9ec11122fd400154be6c48e64c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$12.41
Total PnL
$-2.29
Realised
$-0.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$10.36
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Caroline van der Plas become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the Liberal–National Coalition win less than 45 seats?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$349.30Nov 8, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline van der Plas become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.00Nov 5, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$360.00Nov 5, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$369.63Nov 5, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$370.00Nov 5, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?$369.63Nov 5, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?$370.00Nov 5, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netanyahu say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?$1.00Nov 5, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 3.3% or more in September?$1.02Nov 5, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 3.3% or more in September?$1.00Sep 26, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the September 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?$1.00Sep 26, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?$1.00Sep 26, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Government of Australia be a Liberal–National majority?$1.01Sep 26, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.09Sep 26, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal–National Coalition win less than 45 seats?$1.00May 3, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.00May 3, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Australia be a Liberal–National majority?$1.00May 3, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?$0.68May 3, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meta have the top AI model on December 31?$0.99May 3, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 475-499 times March 14-21?$1.02May 3, 01:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $57.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 13:59 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 8, 07:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".