Our-Warrant
0x4a87c1c74dee8175ad3901c4e6bcd7a7b73b8585
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$9.41
Total PnL
$-0.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- 100K
Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$2.70
$1.70
- 80K
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.13
$1.13
- YES
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will International Business Machines (IBM) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down on July 12?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCurrent shutdown longest in U.S. history?$1.00Oct 27, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Oct 27, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?$1.00Oct 15, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill International Business Machines (IBM) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 9, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEM10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?$1.11Oct 9, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 9, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?$1.00Sep 18, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?$1.00Sep 18, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?$1.00Sep 18, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?$1.00Jul 17, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUY10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?$1.00Jul 11, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jalen Williams win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$0.00Jul 11, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair?$0.00Jul 11, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Kings$1.2KJul 11, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on July 12?$1.00Jul 11, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jalen Williams win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$0.10Dec 16, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair?$0.10Dec 16, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Kings$624.00Dec 16, 10:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?$0.00Dec 16, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brighton win on 2024-12-15?$600.00Dec 16, 10:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $205.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 11:38 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 27, 16:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".