0x4a8bd8a969d5d20f36d8c11a89c0a0b0ae0848d0
0x4a8bd8a969d5d20f36d8c11a89c0a0b0ae0848d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$169.73
Total PnL
$-208.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
333 shares @ 15.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$88.33
$38.33
- YES
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?
813 shares @ 6.1¢·now 4.2¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$34.14
$-15.82
- YES
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
2064 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$31.99
$-18.01
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
2295 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$14.92
$-35.08
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
714 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.36
$-49.64
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13?
5908 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-78.70
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
1024 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13?$64.05Jun 12, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13?$20.49Jun 12, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$52.15Jun 10, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$52.20Jun 10, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$51.95Jun 10, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$52.70Jun 10, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?$50.21Jun 10, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$50.25Jun 10, 15:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $49.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 15:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 21:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.