Simple-Author
0x4a8c869bedd8f3a5781dba63f964742276fd1dda
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
59
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-284.32
Realised
$-122.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Secretary of War" at Fort Bragg on Friday?
1431 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?
1333 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Absolute Resolve" or "Midnight Hammer" at Fort Bragg on Friday?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026?$7.16Mar 21, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 21, 2026?$10.00Mar 20, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026?$10.00Mar 20, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$4.82Mar 14, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$1.39Mar 14, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.00Mar 13, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Grizzlies$7.59Mar 13, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?$10.22Mar 13, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-03-12?$16.67Mar 13, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$5.00Mar 12, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlue Jackets vs. Panthers$5.00Mar 12, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-03-12?$5.00Mar 12, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFerencvárosi TC vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5$5.00Mar 12, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?$5.00Mar 12, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5$5.00Mar 12, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 12?$5.00Mar 12, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNets vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5$5.00Mar 12, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Grizzlies$5.00Mar 12, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYDucks vs. Maple Leafs$5.00Mar 12, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 1, 16:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $9.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 21:09 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 19:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.